java.lang.Object
net.finmath.timeseries.models.parametric.GARCH
- All Implemented Interfaces:
HistoricalSimulationModel
Log-normal process with GARCH(1,1) volatility.
This class estimate the process
\[
\mathrm{d} \log(X) = \sigma(t) \mathrm{d}W(t)
\]
where \( \sigma \) is given by a GARCH(1,1) process from time discrete
realizations \( X_{i} \). That is, given a time series of values \( X_{i} \)
the GARCH(1,1) volatility of the log-returns \( \log(X_{i+1}/X_{i}) \) is
estimated.
- Version:
- 1.0
- Author:
- Christian Fries
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Constructor Summary
Constructors -
Method Summary
Modifier and TypeMethodDescriptionReturns the parameters estimated for the given time series.getBestParameters(Map<String,Object> guess)
Returns the parameters estimated for the given time series, using a parameter guess.getCloneWithWindow(int windowIndexStart, int windowIndexEnd)
Create a new model, using only a window of the times series.double
getLastResidualForParameters(double omega, double alpha, double beta)
Returns the last estimate of the time series volatility.double
getLogLikelihoodForParameters(double omega, double alpha, double beta)
Get log likelihood of the sample time series for given model parameters.double[]
getQuantilPredictionsForParameters(double omega, double alpha, double beta, double[] quantiles)
double[]
getSzenarios(double omega, double alpha, double beta)
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Constructor Details
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GARCH
public GARCH(double[] values)Create GARCH model estimated form the given time series of values.- Parameters:
values
- Given set of values.
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GARCH
public GARCH(double[] values, int windowIndexStart, int windowIndexEnd)Create GARCH model estimated form the given time series of values.- Parameters:
values
- Given set of values.windowIndexStart
- First index to consider in the given set of values.windowIndexEnd
- Last index to consider in the given set of values.
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Method Details
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getCloneWithWindow
Description copied from interface:HistoricalSimulationModel
Create a new model, using only a window of the times series.- Specified by:
getCloneWithWindow
in interfaceHistoricalSimulationModel
- Parameters:
windowIndexStart
- Index of the first element to be part of the new time series.windowIndexEnd
- Index of the last element to be part of the new time series.- Returns:
- A new historical simulation using a different data window.
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getLogLikelihoodForParameters
public double getLogLikelihoodForParameters(double omega, double alpha, double beta)Get log likelihood of the sample time series for given model parameters.- Parameters:
omega
- The parameter ω of the GARCH model.alpha
- The parameter α of the GARCH model.beta
- The parameter β of the GARCH model.- Returns:
- The log likelihood of the times series under the specified GARCH model.
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getLastResidualForParameters
public double getLastResidualForParameters(double omega, double alpha, double beta)Returns the last estimate of the time series volatility.- Parameters:
omega
- The parameter ω of the GARCH model.alpha
- The parameter α of the GARCH model.beta
- The parameter β of the GARCH model.- Returns:
- Last residual, i.e., σ
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getSzenarios
public double[] getSzenarios(double omega, double alpha, double beta) -
getQuantilPredictionsForParameters
public double[] getQuantilPredictionsForParameters(double omega, double alpha, double beta, double[] quantiles) -
getBestParameters
Description copied from interface:HistoricalSimulationModel
Returns the parameters estimated for the given time series.- Specified by:
getBestParameters
in interfaceHistoricalSimulationModel
- Returns:
- The parameters estimated for the given time series.
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getBestParameters
Description copied from interface:HistoricalSimulationModel
Returns the parameters estimated for the given time series, using a parameter guess.- Specified by:
getBestParameters
in interfaceHistoricalSimulationModel
- Parameters:
guess
- A parameter guess.- Returns:
- The parameters estimated for the given time series.
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